Day: December 27, 2013
Understanding doesn’t mean liking
Meir Javedanfar, one of Israel’s keenest Iran-watchers, advises wisely that we need to watch Iran’s domestic politics closely if we want to know what is going to happen in the nuclear talks:
Iran’s foreign policy in 2014 is likely to be more chaotic than it was this year.
The reason is that Iran’s domestic politics is likely to be more chaotic in 2014, and in Iran, like in many other countries, foreign policy is an extension of what happens at home.
Iranian President Rouhani walks a tightrope stretched between Supreme Leader Khamanei and various conservative factions, especially those associated with the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps. A good shake from either end could leave Rouhani off balance and unable to conclude either implementation of the existing six-month agreement or negotiation of a more permanent arrangement governing Iran’s nuclear program. Read more
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