Categories: Daniel Serwer

It’s all about him

Rarely has an Administration compiled a clearer record of losing than this one is doing right now:

  1. President Trump’s best friend Kim Jong-un is busily launching short-range missiles while the US holds the door open for negotiations.
  2. The push to replace Venezuelan President Maduro with Interim President Guaido has stalled after several attempts.
  3. The “maximum pressure” policy on Iran is pushing Tehran towards restarting part of its nuclear program while alienating America’s European allies.
  4. The “Deal of the Century” between Palestinians and Israelis is stillborn.
  5. The tariff war with China is escalating.

The Administration knows only one negotiating tactic: squeezing hard to cause pain, while offering economic benefits if only the adversary will give in. Other peoples’ national pride, interests, and values are not taken into account. It is just assumed that “they” are just like us and want all the same things, mainly nice hotels.

That’s not how diplomacy works. To change an adversary’s behavior, you have to consider not your own value function but theirs. Kim Jong-un doesn’t want foreign investment or economic benefits he cannot control. Maduro isn’t interested in leaving Venezuela, even if the Americans leave him an escape route to Cuba. Iran has withstood sanctions before and will do so again. The Palestinians won’t take money instead of a state. Chinese President Xi Jinping isn’t going to weaken the Communist Party’s grip on the economy to please Donald Trump.

Of course Donald Trump will never admit defeat on any of these issues. Whatever happens, he’ll announce victory, exaggerating his own prowess and role. It really doesn’t matter what the truth of the matter is. After lots of sound and fury, Trump readily settles for half a loaf or less, as he did on the “renegotiation” of the North American Free Trade Agreement. His primary concern is not getting a good deal for America but rather ensuring that he looks strong to his domestic constituency and can count on them to go to the polls. It’s not about America. It’s all about him.

Daniel Serwer

Share
Published by
Daniel Serwer

Recent Posts

The horse race Harris will win

Persuading time is over. The campaign that gets its voters to the poll wins. I…

2 days ago

Mushroom clouds over the Middle East

Adding Iran to the non-NPT states (India, Pakistan, North Korea, and Israel) could undermine the…

5 days ago

Georgia in contrast: red and blue

Immigrants speak a different language, have different customs, and likely vote for Harris. That's enough…

6 days ago

What happens if Trump wins?

Washington and Brussels need to strengthen both the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Bosnia and…

7 days ago

Complaint department, North Macedonia

Yes to Ali Ahmeti on the language issue. No to the government on the ethnic…

1 week ago

All good, until it’s not, in Atlanta

When the courts refuse their proposals, they will no doubt complain that the election wasn't…

1 week ago