Categories: Daniel Serwer

Americans deserve better but may not get it

Trump and Zelensky were doing fine yesterday:

Zelensky had several times challenged Trump. Europeans, Zelensky said, had provided more aid than the US and it did not have to be paid back. He noted Putin’s record of violating agreements, as well as his torture of prisoners and theft of Ukrainian children. Trump was taking it, even though it made him visiblyu uncomfortable.

The culprit was Vance

Things went south about 39:50, when JD Vance chimed in about the virtues of diplomacy rather than force. Zelensky responded “what kind of diplomacy?” But things only went off the rails when Vance then called Zelensky disrespectful. He had not been disrespectful, though he was clearly annoyed that the VP was chiming in. It was Vance who was being disrespectful.

Quarreling at that point was unwise. Zelensky should have said “we’ll have to disagree about the prospects for successful diplomacy.” Or “I agree about diplomacy, but it has to be backed by strength.” Or “diplomacy with security guarantees makes sense to me.” But give the man a break: he was exhausted and tired of these Russian dupes.

Why did Vance do it?

There are several possible explanations for why Vance made the false claim that Zelensky was disrespectful:

  1. They had met privately in advance of this public session. I had the sense there was already bad blood between them. Maybe it just flowed out.
  2. Trump and Vance may have agreed that the President would play good cop while the VP played bad cop.
  3. Vance may have decided the meeting was going too well and that his minders in Moscow would not be pleased.
  4. Trump and Vance may have (rightly) decided the agreement Zelensky was about to sign was a nothing burger.

Whatever the cause, it was, as Tom Nichols put it in The Atlantic, an ambush. Zelensky was not at fault.

Humpty dumpty

The question now is whether Humpty Dumpty can be put back together again. I doubt it. It was not just this meeting that went badly. Trump’s entire initiative for peace in Ukraine is cockeyed. He is trying to wean Russia from China and make Moscow a friend of the US. That isn’t going to happen. Putin knows his country is nothing without Chinese backing. He certainly won’t trade it for the uncertainties of US support.

But there is no telling with Trump. He is a bad negotiator. He concedes things up front that he needn’t concede. Trump holds back on things that need to be clear up front. He reverses himself even on issues he has said are vital. The European backing for Zelensky should make an honest US president wonder if he has got this right. But of course Trump despises the Euros. And he isn’t honest

America will shrink

That leaves us with a giant split in the NATO Alliance. Trump is aligned with Russia. The Europeans align with Ukraine. But will the Euros get their act together to fill in for the US aid Trump will cancel? If they don’t Putin will win this war. Then after a few years of rearmament he will start a new one in Moldova, then Poland or the Baltics.

America will have shrunk to a Western Hemisphere power pining after Panama and Greenland. And complaining to Mexico and Canada about the drugs Americans are abusing. Washington will be unable and unwilling to defend its allies in either Europe or Asia. Our economy will be noncompetitive due to tariff protection. The society will return to its tradition of white robber baron supremacy. Americans deserve better but may not get it.

Daniel Serwer

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  • The meeting was set up to begin with - remember when Trump's first impeachment was about holding out aide to Ukraine. It is horrible that the US is no longer the leader of the free world, and that we have a president who lies more than tells the truth. That he was able to evade justice when he pushed legal limits because he is wealthy enough to pay for the legal delays, tells much about the US today.

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Daniel Serwer

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