Read this to not be surprised

9 months ago

https://twitter.com/i/status/1820636305924985171 A few challenges today to the accepted wisdom: Iran and its allies will not necessarily attack Israel with missiles…

When you are in a hole, stop digging

9 months ago

When you are in a hole, stop digging.

Tunisia gets one more chance

9 months ago

We urge the Tunisian people to exercise their citizenship and constitutional rights in endorsing and voting for any candidate they…

Harris is gaining while Trump steps in it

9 months ago

But war between Iran and Israel? A jump in unemployment or inflation? A third party candidate who gains more traction?…

Here is something AI can do for you

9 months ago

I argue in my book that an "epistemic community" engaging in what Daniel Kahneman called "adversarial collaboration" can do this…

Assassinations could mean war with Iran

9 months ago

Israel killed Fuad Shukr, military deputy to Hizbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, in Beirut yesterday with a targeted air strike. Though…

Trump is in trouble for now

9 months ago

Who knows what else he'll pull. But if she can hold on to the ball, a goal is inevitable.

Montenegro needs to right itself, now

9 months ago

There will be no help from the West. That makes the task of Montenegrin opposition urgent and dramatic. Montenegro needs…

The applause won’t echo for long

9 months ago

Most Americans also have little or no confidence in Netanyahu. The applause in Congress won't echo for long.

Advantage Harris, but the set isn’t over

9 months ago

She has already demonstrated that she is quick. Now she needs to demonstrate that she can manage a unifying convention,…