Tag: North Korea

Stevenson’s army, April 2

– Jake Sullivan meets with Japan and South Korea regarding North Korea.

JCPOA signers [except US] meet with Iran.

– WSJ says US cutting forces in Middle East.

Honduras hired lobbyists to stop investigation of corruption.

– Biden & congressional Democrats fight over Egypt policy.

– New report on  counterspace capabilities.

– Former Speaker Boehner tells how GOP went crazy.

Congressional norms are changing, not all for the bad.

My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I plan to republish here. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).

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Stevenson’s army, March 27

– NYT investigates how North Korea gets oil.
-Intelligence report on Taliban is now part of Afghan troop debate.
– Iran and China sign long term economic deal.

-It may not be good press, but it’s good Constitutional law: you can’t arrest a member speeding away from the Capitol.

-North Korea wants to expand its nuclear program, WSJ says.

– Biden nominates 2 careerists to Assistant Secretary of State positions.
– FT says US officials worried about attack on Taiwan.
-FP has several weekly newsletters on different regions.

My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I plan to republish here. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).

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Stevenson’s army, March 24

Biden plans to release a skinny budget next week. [Skinny in details, not costs]
North Korea tests missiles to get attention.
CFR has report on responding to China’s BRI.
WOTR has 2 very good pieces: One on DOD’s approach to technology and change

The other offering nuanced distinctions between cyber operations for intelligence vs covert action.

My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I plan to republish here. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).

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Stevenson’s army, March 16

– Defense News tells how defense industry survived Covid.
– Defense News also rates the hypersonic weapons race.
– NYT tells of China’s vaccine diplomacy in Latin America.
-WSJ reports Coast Guard active in western Pacific. [Over the years, some USCG students did policy papers urging this.]
– North Korea responds to US diplomacy.
– A Duke prof argues that 1983 Able Archer war scare has been exaggerated.
– Defense analysts doubt bridge funds work well for high tech.

My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I plan to republish here. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).

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Stevenson’s army, March 14

North Korea rebuffs Biden outreach.
Explain this: Asian countries have 1/10 to 1/1000 virus death rate compared to US & Europe.
Book length tick tock of Trump’s China policies.
A student discovered that State has revived a sanctions office — because of a provision in a virus relief bill. [I’d like to see a paper on that.]
Last week in class we discussed the soaring cost of US military aircraft. NYT weighs in with an editorial criticizing the F-35.

My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I plan to republish here. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).

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Foreign policy is also made by omission

Secretary of State Blinken outlined Biden Administration foreign policy yesterday. Here is the short version:

  1. End the pandemic
  2. Rebuild the economy
  3. Protect democracy
  4. Treat immigrants humanely but reduce incentives for migration
  5. Revitalize relations with friends
  6. Slow climate change
  7. Lead in hi tech
  8. Manage the rise of China

All of this is to be done with two things in mind: benefiting Americans and mobilizing other countries to carry part of the burden.

Tony is also at pains to underline that all these foreign policy issues have important domestic dimensions and that diplomacy will come before military action. The former is not new and underlay Trump’s “America First” slogan, especially on trade issues. The latter isn’t new either, but it is diametrically the opposite of what Trump was inclined to do. He thought cruise missiles and drones could get the US out of Syria without any need for talking with anyone. He tried talks with the Taliban, but did not wait for them to succeed before withdrawing half the troops.

It’s hard for me to quarrel with much of what Tony said. But there are things missing, as Tony acknowledges. Often in international affairs, as in domestic politics, what is not said is as significant as what is said.

Apart from the mention of China and some other geopolitical threats (Russia, Iran North Korea), there is no mention at all of specific regions and little of specific countries. My friends in the Middle East and the Balkans should take note. You are not going to get all the attention you crave. This is a major change from the traditional diplomatic “tour d’horizon” and suggests a shift from the State Department’s traditional emphasis on bilateral relations, as represented in its “geographic” bureaus and accentuated in the transactional Trump Administration, to “transnational” issues represented in State’s “functional” bureaus.

Among the “transnational” issues, one important one is omitted: nuclear non-proliferation. This may reflect a realistic recognition that with respect at least to North Korea and perhaps even Iran the cat is out of the bag: we are not going to be able to convince them to give up their nuclear ambitions entirely. It may also reflect a desire to leave room for some of our friends and allies to respond in kind. We’ve long exercised a tacit double standard with respect to Israel’s nuclear weapons. We might be willing to do so for other countries like Japan or South Korea whose neighbors threaten them with nukes. Trump famously uttered this heresy out loud, but his departure doesn’t make the issue evaporate. Confidence in the American nuclear umbrella fades as Pyongyang acquires the capacity to nuke Los Angeles.

Of course the urgent in foreign policy often comes before the merely important. Tony knows he won’t be able to ignore Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, the Palestinians, democratic backsliding in the Balkans, the coup in Burma, or the agreed withdrawal from Afghanistan, which the Administration needs to either confirm or postpone. This Administration’s minds and hearts are in the right place. But that does not guarantee success. They face a challenging global environment, not least from all the omissions.

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