Tag: Trade

Stevenson’s army, February 2, 2023

McConnell punishes two of his critics.

McCarthy rewards some of his.

– Bipartisan group warns DOD against unfunded priority lists.

– Poll shows US views on Ukraine options.

– Commerce official brags about effects of trade restrictions.

– Analyst urges making Commerce the 18th intelligence agency. Reasonable case to me.

– Nonpartisan agreement on some Constitutional amendments. These also look surprisingly reasonable.

– Jim Fallows has good list of things we Americans should know about China.

– DOD wants to manage itself better.

My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I republish here, with occasional videos of my choice. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).

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Stevenson’s army, January 20-23

Charlie has been back a few days, but I’ve been down for the count, so here is a massive catchup edition:

January 23:

The ever-valuable D Brief has this: Norway’s military chief said around 180,000 Russian troops have been killed or injured in Ukraine so far. “Russian losses are beginning to approach around 180,000 dead or wounded soldiers,” and “Ukrainian losses are probably over 100,000 dead or wounded,” Defense Minister Eirik Kristoffersen told TV2 on Sunday. He also said an estimated 30,000 civilians have been killed in the war so far, though he didn’t elaborate on how he arrived at any of his numbers.

[This is interesting because the two subjects NOT covered by the western media are Ukrainian casualties and operational restrictions imposed by NATO couontries.]

– We talked in class about George Santos. New York magazine claims to list all of his lies.

– The pending appointment of Jeff Zients to be WH chief of staff resurrected this story about how he failed to create a Department of Trade. As we’ll discuss in class, congressional committees weren’t happy with either the plan or the reorganization power Zients proposed because it weakened their jurisdiction.

-The Economist often has clever headlines. Politico wins the prize this week for: Who Shot the Serif?

January 22:

Happy Year of the Rabbit!

As I read the accumulated papers, I see these items of special interest:

– Congress and the administration are heading to a fight over arms to Turkey.

Rifts are emerging in NATO over Ukraine aid.

– NYT has background on Taiwan’s “ambassador”

– Paul Kane laments the retirement of Senate “work horses” and includes data on diminished voting on amendments [because of the filled “amendment tree”]

– Ezra Klein analyzes disconnects in the GOP and interviews an author who says GOP politicians have been dominated by conservative media.

– NYT explains how US got $31 trillion debt.

January 20:

I see that a lot has been happening during my travels. The big news on Ukraine is the dispute between US & Germany over tanks. A good catch-up piece is today’s D Brief, a newsletter worth reading regularly.

WaPo also has good background on Ukraine planning. The CIA Director has also been meeting in Kyiv.   WSJ has good info on weapons issues.

The Inspectors General for DOD, State & AID have a combined report on US assistance to Ukraine.

On China & Taiwan, WOTR had a good explanation of the delivery delays in US arms for Taipei. It turns out that National Guard units have been training Taiwanese.  And WSJ says China’s brick & road initiative is faltering.

Good news for Congress: NYT says lawmakers changed the rules that in effect give them a $34,000 pay boost which they never would have voted for directly.

More good news at State: Sec. Blinken has ordered a shift from Times New Roman fonts for official documents to Calibri.   When I worked on the Policy Planning Staff I failed to persuade Under Secretary Pickering to take advantage of the retiring of the Wang Computers and allow overseas cables to be written with upper and lower case letters instead of the required [by the former technology] ALL CAPS ALL THE TIME.

Also January 20:

Many of you know that I favor a return to Regular Order in Congress, the way the armed services committees do the NDAA, with vigorous oversight, a bill open to many amendments, and a compromise process that allows the ill to be signed into law — for 62 years now. But both Democratic and Republican leaders have opposed those open rules. Speaker McCarthy now wants to bring them back. Here’s what happened last time.

Harlan Ullman, the original proponent of shock and awe tactics, now calls for a major revision of US defense strategy.

Fletcher’s Dan Drezner puts his economic statecraft syllabus in his Substack column. I like his work and will review this for things I should be assigning.

The Partnership for Public Service has a guidebook for new officials that has a lot of good ideas on how to be an effective bureaucrat.  I probably should make it required reading.

On Politico a sometime historian compares FDR’s help to Britain before Pearl Harbor to the West’s help to Ukraine today. Good background, but I’d note that FDR was constrained by US public and congressional opinion, not by a fear of provoking war with Hitler. Biden is limited by concerns about Russia reactions.

Two European analysts see conflicts of interest in writers about nuclear weapons policy.

A new CSIS report says we should be thinking seriously about letting South Korea get nukes.

My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I republish here, with occasional videos of my choice. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).

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Stevenson’s army, December 13

[CRS has new report on US security assistance to Ukraine.]

[Another CRS report says Congress has appropriated $66 billion in aid for Ukraine.]

– Axios reports that Iran is limiting range of missiles its sending to Russia.

– Bipartisan report suggest ways for US to get back into TPP. The Asia Society report is here.

– In FT, Gideon Rachman says Korean armistice is the best model for Ukraine war.

– CRS has new short piece on local impact of defense spending.

My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I republish here, with occasional videos of my choice. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).

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Stevenson’s army, December 11

I posted yesterday’s as today’s (now corrected). Apologies. This is today’s:

– WSJ says US faces new era of hostage diplomacy.

– NYT sees US political divisions over hostages.

– Air Force/DOD dispute over drones.

– Warsaw & Berlin dispute over Patriot missiles.

– US disputes WTO decision on steel tariffs.

– US public support for Ukraine lessens.

– WSJ reports increased Iranian support for Russia.

– Ukraine has a landmine problem.

My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I republish here, with occasional videos of my choice. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).

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Stevenson’s army, November 28

There are more and more students protesting at Tsinghua University, shouting “democracy, rule of law, freedom of expression”, which is the earliest political appeal in Beijing’s protests.

– Ukraine aid slows arms to Taiwan.

NATO uneasy with US hard-on-China push

– Ukraine fighting wears out its artillery.

And here’s news abut Taiwan’s elections this wekeend:

Taiwan’s ruling tough-on-China party gets clobbered

Taiwan’s President Tsai Ing-wen stepped down as leader of the ruling Democratic Progress Party after it lost big to the opposition Kuomintang party, or KMT, in Saturday’s local elections. As expected, the KMT, which has long favored closer ties with Beijing but denies being pro-China, swept the polls across most big cities. The DPP had tried to turn the election into a referendum on protecting Taiwan’s democracy from Chinese encroachment, but it didn’t work: Voters responded better to the KMT’s pitch about prioritizing local issues such as COVID and the economy. Meanwhile, the upstart Taiwan People’s Party — seen as a rising alternative to the DPP and KMT — turned heads by capturing Hsinchu, known as the self-ruled island’s Silicon Valley because it is home to many semiconductor companies. The result ups the ante ahead of the 2024 presidential election, when voters will likely be more worried about China’s growing threat. A KMT victory would be welcomed by Beijing, but success in local elections doesn’t necessarily mean it’ll do well in 2024. After all, in early 2020, the DPP recovered from a similar local election defeat to reelect Tsai in a landslide.

Charlie added later:

Reuters says US may send missile with 100-mile range to Ukraine.

Dan Drezner has praise for Biden foreign policy.

He doesn’t like Biden’s trade policy, but the Politico weekly trade newsletter notes how carefully the administration is consulting with stakeholders over new rules.

Two GOP Members have bill to drive “wokeness” from the Pentagon.  Their plan.

My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I republish here, with occasional videos of my choice. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).

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Stevenson’s army, November 21

– US wants expanded military presence in Philippines

– Germans consider subsidies to avoid trade war with US

Iran helps Russia build drones, WaPo says.

– Russia has growing debt problem

– And the tech sanctions are hurting, too, says FP

House GOP targets the Pentagon

– US pressures Netanyahu over defense appointment

My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I republish here, with occasional videos of my choice. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).

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