Tag: Ukraine
Stevenson’s army, September 18
– Senate has changed its dress code. I think that will lower decorum and seriousness.
– Senate Democrats need 67 votes to suspend the rules [in this case rule XVI on appropriations] to package 3 spending bills.
– Jake Sullivan and Wang Yi spent 2 days in important talks
– There’s a Sahel security pact
– Intercept says US got arms from Pakistan for Ukraine in return for IMF bailout
– WaPo says deal with Iran could lead to more. Brett McGurk explains and defends deal
– Trudeau accuses India of killing Canadian Sikh
My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I republish here, with occasional videos of my choice. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).
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Stevenson’s army, September 16
– NYT says Biden administration is preparing defenses against a renewed schedule F
– NYT surveys presidential candidates on how they would use executive powers
– NYT expands on candidate views of war powers
– AEI’s Kori Schake says DOD isn’t buying enough to prepare for combat
– Institute for the study of war analyzes how Russia and China prepare for the future
My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I republish here, with occasional videos of my choice. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).
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Stevenson’s army, September 15
– AEI’s Norm Ornstein suggests new rules to get around the Tuberville holds:
Two simple rule changes could break the impasse. First, by majority, the Senate could require an up-or-down floor vote on a confirmation within 30 days after the nominee has been reported out by the relevant committee. An alternative would be for the Senate to create by rule its own variation of the House’s discharge petition: If a majority of senators sign such a petition, it would force a floor vote under a privileged resolution.
– David Rothkopf praises SecState Blinken’s speech at SAIS.
– NYT says both Koreas are now involved in supplying Ukraine war.
– Yesterday the story was shifting aid from Egypt to Taiwan. Today, NYT notes US is still sending a lot to Egypt despite human rights complaints.
– WSJ says Chinese defense minister has been fired.
– CNN says China stopped spy balloon program.
My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I republish here, with occasional videos of my choice. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).
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Belgrade: a question of when, not if
A friend writes from Belgrade:
Vucic continues to psychologically set the conditions to prepare the population for war against Kosovo through the media and other means. These efforts have intensified recently:
–Vucic plans to invade the north of Kosovo as soon as it is politically expedient to do so;
–Timing depends on his perceptions of relative Russian strength/support, and Western weakness;
Perceptions of Western weakness
–The continued strength of Western support for Ukraine will play a large role in these perceptions. If Western support for Ukraine is seen as tepid or pushing Ukraine towards unwanted negotiations, then Vucic will feel emboldened;
–Vucic’s perceptions of Western weakness depend in part on feedback from Serbia’s recently reinvigorated lobbying effort in Washington, as well as feedback from Orban and Lajcak;
–Vucic’s perceptions of Western weakness/resolve also depend in part on US Ambassador Hill’s continued highly embarrassing and debasing public efforts to kow-tow to Serbia;
Deterrence is failing
–Vucic believes the West will not respond militarily to an incursion in the north of Kosovo and will only wag fingers and protest impotently, while calling for renewed negotiations;
–These opinions are shared by most educated Serbs and are seen as painfully obvious to all but the most sycophantic Western politicians and diplomats;
–The only Serbs who seem to disagree with this evaluation are those with a vested financial interest courting the EU and Washington, or those who support retaking Kosovo and think they can fool the West.
Thus, it is a question of when, not if, and a question of whether or not the US and EU can retain any deterrent credibility in the short to medium term.
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Stevenson’s army, September 13
-WaPo summarizes GOP calls for military action against Mexico
– Schumer and other plan trips to Beijing
– AIPAC is having trouble finding candidates
– Homestyles: Politico says Rep. Boebert isn’t so MAGA at home
–Trump DOJ ruling undercuts McCarthy on impeachment
– DOD releases unclassified Cyber Strategy
– At WOTR Michael Kofman analyzes Ukraine offensive
My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I republish here, with occasional videos of my choice. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).
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Stevenson’s army, September 11
– Intercept says Africom leader misled Congress.
– In FP, Cato analysts say Colombia is not proof US military can stop drug cartels.
– NYT says some Members oppose Ukraine aid despite benefits to their districts.
– Lawfare draws security assistance lessons from Ukraine.
My SAIS colleague Charlie Stevenson distributes this almost daily news digest of foreign/defense/national security policy to “Stevenson’s army” via Googlegroups. I republish here, with occasional videos of my choice. To get Stevenson’s army by email, send a blank email (no subject or text in the body) to stevensons-army+subscribe@googlegroups.com. You’ll get an email confirming your join request. Click “Join This Group” and follow the instructions to join. Once you have joined, you can adjust your email delivery preferences (if you want every email or a digest of the emails).
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